Categorizing 8 years of NBA offenses Much ink has been spilled over the NBA's analytics revolution, most of which has been focused on the consequences of teams fully realizing that 3 pointers are worth 150% as much as 2 pointers. I've previously looked at categorizing offenses from the 22-23 season with machine learning. The same… Continue reading Analyzing the NBA Offensive Revolution with Machine Learning
In an age where old heads are complaining that every team plays the same (but anyone who watches games can tell you this is not at all true), I got to thinking about how many different types of offenses there really are in the NBA. I wondered, as any normal person would, "How well can… Continue reading Categorizing NBA Offenses with Machine Learning
The lottery balls bounce your team's way, and they jump to the 4th overall pick despite having had the 6th worst record. How much better off should you expect them to be because of their good luck? How much worse off would they be if they had dropped to the 8th pick? How much better… Continue reading How valuable is each NBA draft pick?
The NBA uses a variation of what is called a Borda Count voting system to select its MVPs, where voters (100 American and Canadian media members who aren't affiliated with teams) are asked to rank their top MVP candidates, and then those candidates are given points based on where they are ranked on each ballot.… Continue reading The NBA MVP voting system is actually good. Voter fatigue might make it better.
I was messing around, making some graphs with advanced stats from Basketball Reference's Advanced stats, when I noticed something interesting. Something remarkable. There are two ways you can give your team an advantage in possessions: you can force turnovers from the other team, or you can grab offensive rebounds. Players can excel at one or… Continue reading Tari Eason is an extra possessions savant
NBA teams have gotten worse at drafting. I look into why and what this could mean for future NBA drafts.
image from soaringdownsouth.com Just as in our heliocentric solar system many small planets orbit a much larger sun, heliocentric NBA offenses feature several role players orbiting around one (or two) stars. Think four shooters zipping around the court while Luka Doncic isolates or Trae Young determining the fate of almost every Hawks' possession. A lot… Continue reading The Most Heliocentric Teams in the NBA
Despite more than half of NBA teams making the playoffs each year, the Sacramento Kings have not made the playoffs since 2006, tying the LA Clippers' Extremely Racist Owner Era for the longest playoff drought in league history. As of early March, the Kings look likely to take sole ownership of the NBA's playoff drought… Continue reading Making the playoffs is easier in the East. Would that have helped the Kings avoid a record playoff drought?
As of December 9, the Warriors lead the NBA in assists with 28.7 per game, a mere .8 ahead of the second place Spurs. But the raw assists per game numbers do not come close to conveying how much the Warriors are lapping the rest of the NBA at scoring off of passes. The Warriors'… Continue reading The Warriors are in Their Own Universe at Scoring Off of Assists
How does Kobe Bryant's $30.5 million salary in 2014, Michael Jordan's $33.1 million salary in 1998, or Allan Houston's $19.1 million salary in 2006 compare to NBA salaries today? This little tool lets you convert a past NBA player's salary to a current equivalent or a current NBA player's salary to a roughly equivalent salary… Continue reading NBA Player Salary Converter